黑龙江省暴雪时空分布特征与发生风险研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

张丽娟  陈红  刘栋  张利  周东颖 《冰川冻土》2011,33(4):721-728

暴雪是黑龙江省常见的灾害性天气之一,基于1970～2006年黑龙江省78个市（县）的逐日降雪资料,对暴雪初、终日分布规律,暴雪的时间、空间分布特征进行分析,采用信息扩散理论计算了各市（县）发生不同暴雪日数的概率风险估计值,并结合GIS技术进行风险区划．研究表明：黑龙江省暴雪初始日期和终止日期37a来变化不大,初始日出现...  相似文献   

徐州农业生产面临气象灾害风险的评估     

孙光东  蔡勤  栾承淼 《气象科学》2011,(S1):105-109

根据徐州市历年来各种气象灾害对农业造成影响的资料, 应用信息扩散的模糊数学理论模型, 对徐州地区洪涝、干旱、风雹和霜冻等气象灾害进行风险评估, 并对客观风险评估值进行分析, 得到与历史上实际灾害发生的概率较吻合的结论, 使用这种方法为我们开展气象灾害风险评估提供了客观的数据。  相似文献   

Accuracy of numerical simulations of contaminant transport in heterogeneous aquifers: A comparative study     

F.A. Radu  N. Suciu  J. HoffmannA. Vogel  O. Kolditz  C.-H. ParkS. Attinger 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(1):47-61

This work deals with a comparison of different numerical schemes for the simulation of contaminant transport in heterogeneous porous media. The numerical methods under consideration are Galerkin finite element (GFE), finite volume (FV), and mixed hybrid finite element (MHFE). Concerning the GFE we use linear and quadratic finite elements with and without upwind stabilization. Besides the classical MHFE a new and an upwind scheme are tested. We consider higher order finite volume schemes as well as two time discretization methods: backward Euler (BE) and the second order backward differentiation formula BDF (2). It is well known that numerical (or artificial) diffusion may cause large errors. Moreover, when the Péclet number is large, a numerical code without some stabilising techniques produces oscillating solutions. Upwind schemes increase the stability but show more numerical diffusion. In this paper we quantify the numerical diffusion for the different discretization schemes and its dependency on the Péclet number. We consider an academic example and a realistic simulation of solute transport in heterogeneous aquifer. In the latter case, the stochastic estimates used as reference were obtained with global random walk (GRW) simulations, free of numerical diffusion. The results presented can be used by researchers to test their numerical schemes and stabilization techniques for simulation of contaminant transport in groundwater.  相似文献   

视觉皮层振荡神经网络在遥感影像分割中的应用     

施蓓琦  刘春  姚连璧  陈能 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2011,36(12):1442-1446

对于具有复杂场景的遥感影像,提出了基于各向异性扩散特征保持平滑的简化LEGION算法,弥补传统LEGION图像分割算法对噪声敏感的不足。对于多（高）光谱影像,则采用马氏距离计算光谱向量间的连接权得到扩展LEGION算法进行分割。实验结果表明,LEGION算法较传统的图像分割方法对单波段灰度遥感影像目标及其重要细节部分的分割效果更显著;扩展LEGION算法适用于多光谱遥感影像分割。  相似文献   

大连初冬一次辐射平流雾天气过程分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王爽  张宏升  吕环宇  潘江勇  蔡丽娜  董蔷薇 《南京气象学院学报》2011,34(5):614-620

利用大连机场地面观测资料、Micaps系统下常规资料、探空资料和NCEP/NCAR全球再分析资料,从天气形势和背景、探空资料分析和物理量诊断方面,对2009年11月30日-12月2日发生在大连地区持续性大雾天气过程做了详细分析。结果表明,本次持续性雾过程属于辐射平流雾,是在稳定的大尺度天气背景下形成的。探空资料表明,大雾发生过程中,边界层内出现一层逆温和多层逆温;边界层内近地层的逆温和充沛的水汽条件对雾的形成和长时间的维持起着重要的作用。热力结构分析表明,温度日较差大表明地面辐射冷却对本次大雾过程具有明显的作用;低层持续的弱暖平流输入,有利于近地层逆温的建立和维持。动力场结构分析表明,在中低层,大雾发生前期和维持时期,存在弱的辐合上升运动;在大雾消散期,存在明显的辐散下沉运动。水汽条件分析表明,增湿和冷却使此次大雾过程中水汽达到饱和状态产生凝结,在大雾过程的前期,存在弱的水汽辐合;在大雾消散期,存在水汽辐散。  相似文献   

A diagnostic analysis of the weakening of West Pacific subtropical anticyclone during the period of South China Sea summer monsoon onset in 1998     

黄辰洁  蓝光东  徐敏贞  陈训来  王安宇  吴池胜 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2011,17(2):147-155

The onset of South China Sea summer monsoon in 1998 occurred on May 21st. Using the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Prediction reanalysis data, this paper examines the physical process of the weakening of a subtropical anticyclone in West Pacific during the onset period using the Zwack-Okossi vorticity equation. Results show that during the pre-onset period, the positive vorticity advection in front of an upper tropospheric trough was the most dominant physical mechanism for the increase of the cyclonic vorticity on the 850-hPa layer over the South China Sea and its nearby region. The secondary contribution to the increase of the cyclonic vorticity was the warm-air advection. After the onset, the magnitude of the latent-heat warming term rapidly increased and its effect on the increase of the cyclonic vorticity was about the same as the positive-vorticity advection. The adiabatic term and divergence term contributed negatively to the increase of the cyclonic vorticity most of the time. Thus, the positive vorticity advection is the most important physical mechanism for the weakening of the West Pacific subtropical anticyclone over the South China Sea during the onset period.  相似文献   

围海造陆工程泄水口悬浮物扩散规律分析   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

陈杰  蒋昌波  张绍华  胡保安 《海洋科学》2015,39(8):58-62

掌握围海造陆工程泄水口悬浮物扩散规律,对保护海洋水环境质量具有重要意义。选取围海造陆工程泄水口为研究对象,基于泥沙对流扩散方程,推求出泄水口悬浮物扩散平面二维分析解表达式。开展现场观测,确定泄水口源强取值,并对泄水口悬浮物扩散进行理论计算和分析。研究结果显示,围海造陆工程施工后期,泄水口悬浮物流失非常严重。泄水口附近水域出现的最大悬浮物浓度主要由源强的大小来决定,悬浮物扩散范围主要由流速的大小来控制。  相似文献   

黄河沉积物向渤海湾扩散的沉积地球化学示踪   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

张爱滨  刘明  廖永杰  张艳丽  范德江 《海洋科学进展》2015,33(2):246-256

使用ICP-AES和ICP-MS对渤海中部118°54′E左右南北向断面的表层沉积物中53种常、微量及稀土元素进行了测试,研究了其含量变化和分布特征,并进行了物质组成分析。研究表明:该区沉积物以B94站为界,南北差异明显,南部区域沉积物以黏土质粉砂为主,富集Al2O3,CaO,Fe2O3,MgO,MnO,P2O5和TiO等常量元素以及绝大多数的微量元素和稀土元素等与细颗粒黏土矿物相关的元素;北部区域沉积物以粉砂-砂为主,富集SiO2,K2O和Na2O等常量元素以及Zr,Ba,Sr,Sb和Hf等微量元素,稀土元素相对亏损。物源对比表明南部沉积物具有黄河来源沉积物特点,北部沉积物具有滦河来源特点,两者的分界大致在38°42′N附近。河口动力过程、渤海环流是影响该区沉积物扩散的主要因素。  相似文献   

水文重力效应改正中一维地下水模拟算法的对比     

贺前钱  孙和平 《大地测量与地球动力学》2018,38(5):529-532

基于一维地下水渗透方程详细推导其有限差分解算过程，引入不同于显式差分的隐式差分和中心差分格式，对比分析不同差分格式对地下水模拟结果及其相应地下水重力效应的影响，并对其中的层间参数取值和非线性方程的线性化问题进行探讨。结果表明，在日本Isawa扇形地区超导台站，不同层间参数加权公式能够引起最大约0.15 μGal的重力效应差异，影响在1.9%以内；不同差分格式和线性化方法组合形式能够引起最大约0.12 μGal的重力效应差异，影响在1.5%以内。  相似文献   

Interpreting zirconium‐in‐rutile thermometric results          下载免费PDF全文

K. Taylor‐Jones  R. Powell 《Journal of Metamorphic Geology》2015,33(2):115-122

At first sight, experimental results and observations on rocks suggest that the Zr content in rutile, where equilibrated with quartz and zircon, should be a useful thermometer for metamorphic rocks. However, diffusion data for Zr in rutile imply that thermometry should not, for plausible rates of cooling, give the high temperatures commonly observed in high‐grade metamorphic rocks. It is suggested here that such observations can be accounted for by high‐T diffusive closure of Si in rutile, causing the interior of rutile grains to become insensitive to the thermometer equilibrium well above the temperature of Zr diffusive closure. Paired with comparatively slow grain boundary diffusion and problematic zircon nucleation, this allows for cases of Zr retention in rutile through temperatures where Zr is still diffusively mobile within rutile grains. Other observations that may be accounted for in this context are large inter‐grain ranges of rutile Zr contents uncorrelated with rutile grain size, and flat Zr profiles across individual rutile grains, counter to what would be expected from diffusive closure. A consequence is that it is unlikely that Zr‐in‐rutile thermometry will be useful for estimating rock cooling rates.  相似文献